Edouard Bard, climatologist at CEREGE (AMU, CNRS, IRD, INRAE, Collège de France), professor at the Collège de France and member of the French Academy of Sciences, takes a fresh look at abrupt climate change and the thermal bipolar seesaw.
AMOC changes: global consequences
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation* (AMOC) appears to be affected by current climate change, with global consequences through the so-called bipolar seesaw. Nevertheless, the existence and amplitude of the long-term trend is open to debate due to the high variability of the AMOC in the short term.
Decades of temperature records from Greenland and the North Atlantic show numerous abrupt coolings that accompany fluctuations in AMOC, as well as warm counterparts in the Southern Hemisphere, notably in the Southern Ocean and Antarctica, via the thermal bipolar seesaw.
Surface water temperature records in the North Atlantic illustrate increased cooling during Heinrich stages, i.e. the massive release of icebergs into this same ocean.
A complex relationship between climatic states
This new study, carried out by researchers at CEREGE, provides new high-resolution ocean temperature records for the southern Iberian margin, and introduces a new mode of analysis as well as a new bipolar tilt index to distinguish between types of cooling. It demonstrates a much more complex relationship than a simple oscillation between two stable climatic states. The new analysis clearly illustrates the influence of North Atlantic temperatures on the response of the Southern Ocean and Antarctica.
* a set of marine currents transporting warm tropical waters towards the North Atlantic and returning southwards at a depth of several kilometers.
Published on March 14, 2023 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
Reference: Davtian N, Bard E. A new view on abrupt climate changes and the bipolar seesaw based on paleotemperatures from Iberian Margin sediments Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120, e2209558120, 1-11, +58 p. suppl., (2023).